Posted by
Allen Caeden on Tuesday, October 20, 2009 11:59:07 AM
Recently Rasmussen released an early GOP field poll for 2012 contenders and it found the following:
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Republican voters nationwide say former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is their pick to represent the GOP in the 2012 Presidential campaign. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 24% prefer former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney while 18% would cast their vote for former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 14% of the vote while Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty gets 4%. Six percent (6%) of GOP voters prefer some other candidate while 7% remain undecided.
Okay, first things first; Huckabee’s surge has come right out of Palin’s decline since the last field poll conducted by Rasmussen back in July. Mitt Romney has remained unchanged. So what is my take on this?
First, Sarah Palin’s early resignation obviously has had an impact on her poll numbers. Second; and I believe this is what has hurt her most, has been her retreat from the public eye since her resignation. Third, while she has retreated from the public eye the left and the GOP elites have hammered her relentlessly almost every single day since July, without her fighting back.
Now consider what Huckabee has done. He has been campaigning for President since he lost to McCain. First, he is always in the spotlight, in particular would be his show on FOX News. So while Sarah Palin has retreated, Huckabee has fiercely thrusted himself in the limelight. Second, he has had a bestselling book for weeks. So what this poll shows us is how Palin matches up against Huckabee after she has been out of spotlight for months and viciously attacked on a daily basis, against Huckabee who has been in the spotlight and has not been attacked by the leftist media.
However folks, the situation is about to change dramatically because Sarah Palin is returning to the spotlight as of mid to late November. Her book sales have already crushed Huckabee’s book sales. Palin will obviously being doing a national book tour and interviews in the rightwing media where she will put forth what her vision is for America. Second, many rightwing media figures are already Sarah Palin supporters, such as: Rush Limbaugh, Mark Levin, Glenn Beck, Sean Hannity, and Tammy Bruce. These personalities will be very influential among the GOP base in the 2012 GOP primaries. Third, Sarah Palin is now sifting through over 1000 requests for speaking and campaigning events and you can be sure that the media will be all over every word that Palin utters as she speaks across the nation once again.
Fourth, while Palin has been out of the spotlight, she has been far from idle. Obviously, she finished her book early so that it will be ready for holiday sales. However, what you may not know is that she has been setting up what appears to be a new national 537-C “PAC”. This is to distinguish it from her “SarahPac”, because there are differences in what each PAC can and can do under federal law. Sarah Palin’s new 537-C PAC will allow her to have far more freedom in how she uses her money and enable her to go after her political enemies, namely Obama. She is the only potential 2012 candidate who has gone as far as to set up 537-C national PAC. Thus, Sarah Palin is building a well oiled national political machine for 2012. To use a military analogy, Sarah Palin is building up her war machine and training her troops for the war that she knows is a mere 3 ½ years away and in doing this she is outsmarting the rest of the 2012 GOP contenders, and Obama. Thus, my opinion is that Huckabee should enjoy his time in the limelight, he will not be at the top for long.