About Me

Name: Allen Caeden
Biography
Loading...

Create Your Own Blog Find Other Townhall Blogs

Comments

Archives

Blog Roll

 

Romney cannot win the GOP nomination in 2012.

Sarah Palin has basically topped the last three major polls for GOP hopefuls in a contested GOP primary, this would be Zogby, Research2000, and todays Gallup (if you look at Gallup's internals as I did earlier on this blog). Two things are certain from these polls. First, Huckabee has fallen from grace, the clemency issue has obviously hit him quite hard. Second, as of today the GOP primary will be between the conservative Sarah Palin and the liberal Mitt Romney. This works out quite well for Sarah Palin because in a GOP primary Mitt Romney is quite simply unelectable for the following reasons:

1.) His Mormonism alienates the Religious Right.
2.) His utter flipflopping on social & fiscal issues, alienates conservatives.
3.) This one will do him in the most: his instituting socialized medicine as governor.

Have you noticed that when the issue of Obamacare comes up Mitt Romney is no where to be found? Romney knows that he will be questioned on his own Romneycare which is now bankrupting Massachusettes and when Palin runs campaign ads pointing this out Mitt Romney is done as a potential GOP contender for 2012. Also, Scott Rasmussen has noted that Mitt Romney can never poll higher than roughly 25% of GOP support, he is stuck and cannot break out of the rut he is in, but he is in this rut for the reasons I have already pointed out. If Mitt Romney could not beat a hated Republican like John McCain then he will never beat the GOP superstar that is Sarah Palin. I believe that in his heart Romney knows this to be true.
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Happy Birthday to....

Sarah Palin!
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Time magazine on Palin in 2012.

"But is Sarah Palin the favorite to win the Republican presidential nomination and therefore someone to be taken absolutely seriously? You betcha."

                                                                                                   -The very liberal Joe Klein
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Why Sarah Palin will be the GOP's 2012 nominee.

Taken from http://www.research2000.us/2009/12/23/palin-will-be-the-2012-gop-nominee/

Palin will be the 2012 GOP Nominee

Palin will be the 2012 GOP Nominee

In June 2007 I unequivocally stated that Hillary Clinton would not win the Democratic nomination for President in 2008. I based this on two facts of which the latter are still belittled today by many pundits and political observers. The former was based on our state by state polling among both Democratic primary and general election voters which showed Hillary Clinton with “unelectable” high unfavorable’s which on average was higher than her favorable rating and ranged consistently in the high 40’s and low 50’s. The latter is simply the changing demographics among voters in the United States. This point of course was lost by many of those same pundits and political observers with my second prediction

that John McCain’s selection of Sara Palin as his VP was perhaps one of the worst selections ever made by a major political party’s presidential nominee. Today, Sarah Palin has unfavorable ratings higher than Hillary Clinton’s after her arrival on the national scene over a year ago. Of course I was ridiculed by those who seem to believe that the nation demographics and attitudes are still cemented in 1980, even after the election of Barack Obama to the presidency.



The recent murders of four police officers in Washington State by a career violent criminal who was granted parole by Mike Huckabee, when Governor of Arkansas, for all intents and purposes ended any realistic shot he had at winning the GOP nomination in 2012, given the fact that the majority of the Republican Party electorate is far more conservative culturally than it was in 1980. This leads me to my third prediction, Sarah Palin “WILL” be the GOP’s nominee in 2012. Her base of supporters are so solid that I believe she is immune to what former Louisiana Governor Edwin Edwards said about the only way he could lose to David Duke is if he was found in bed with a live boy or a dead girl. Palin will be the 2012 nominee based on how the 2008 GOP primaries played out and the party history when it comes to selecting their nominee. In 2008, there were three major players running for the GOP nomination. John McCain, Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. Rudy Giuliani was never viable at any time due to his position on abortion. So, among the big three, McCain would win as I predicted back in 2007 for the simple reason that Romney and Huckabee took votes from the same pool of culturally conservative voters, which although makes up the majority of the party, it allowed McCain to walk to the nomination because he was able to win with a plurality in almost all the primary states among fiscally conservative and socially more moderate Republicans. As a result, the 2012 GOP nomination is Sarah Palin’s to lose for two reasons. First, with Huckabee done and the fact that cultural conservatives never really have warmed up to Romney, over 90% of these voters will support Palin and two, the front runner in the GOP historically always wins the nomination. I am sure the counter argument will be that Barack Obama was unknown as was Jimmy Carter in 1976. However, we are talking about the Republican Party which is never unpredictable in choosing their nominee. Reagan in 1980, Bush in 1988, Dole in 1996, GW Bush in 2000 and McCain 2008 were all considered the front runners almost three years out before their respective elections. The party is the most conservative it has been in its history and this makes it even less likely that the status quo would change when it comes to electing their nominee. There are never dark horse candidates in the GOP who win the nomination so forget Tim Pawlenty, General David Petraeus, John Thune, etc. Speaking of Generals, Dwight Eisenhower was the front runner for both the Democratic and Republican parties in 1952, the GOP was just a little quicker out of the gate. The irony is that Ike not only would have no shot of the GOP nomination today, he would be deemed a too liberal and UnAmerican by the vast majority of the GOP base today. This same majority which matters when deciding on the nominee of the GOP is etched firmly in stone in stone for Sarah Palin.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

By my count Palin beats Romney in 2012.

Excerpt from: http://www.gallup.com/poll/125777/Voters-Divided-Obama-Republican-Candidate-2012.aspx

The poll asked Republicans and Republican-leaning independents to name, without prompting, whom they would most like to see as the party's 2012 presidential candidate. It is clear at this early date that most Republicans have not developed a preference, with 42% not having an opinion or volunteering that they do not prefer any candidate.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin are most frequently mentioned, by 14% and 11%, respectively. Seven percent mention Arizona Sen. John McCain, the 2008 nominee. Newly elected Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown, former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 candidate Mike Huckabee, and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich are each mentioned by at least 3% of Republicans.

Just Off the Top of Your Head, Which Republican Would You Most Like to See as the Party's Candidate for President in the 2012 Election? Among Republicans and Republican-Leaning Independents

     A couple points should be made about this poll. First, Romney only beats Palin by three points (14% vs. 11%) and in order to do this the poll has to be flooded with the names of people who will not even run and many will turn out to be Palin supporters. Okay let’s take John McCain’s name out, so that is 7% and given that Sarah Palin is going to campaign for him this year he will almost certainly endorse her in 2012 so she will get his 7%. This would put Palin on top at 18% vs. 14% but we are not done thinning the field. Fred Thompson is not going to run and his wife Jeri Thompson runs a pro Palin website called TeamSarah.org  so Thompson will almost certainly endorse Palin bringing the vote to Palin’s 19% against Romney’s 14%. Scott Brown is not going to run for president and he could never win a GOP primary with his pro-abortion views. I am going to divided his votes between Palin and Romney because Brown ran on an anti-big government platform with a major focus on Obama’s attempt to nationalize healthcare, Romney instituted socialized healthcare in Massachusetts thus someone who is a fiscal conservative like brown will not like Romney’s past with socialized medicine. Thus the vote would be Palin 21% vs. Romney 16%.

     If Huckabee does not run or runs but soon drops out his votes will almost certainly go to Sarah Palin, thus we have Sarah Palin 24% vs. Romney 16%. Tim Pawlenty in my view would back Mitt Romney so Romney gets bumped up to 17%. Bob McDonnell in my opinion would also back Romney bringing Romney up to 18%.  However, Bobby Jindal’s supporters are too conservative to ever support Mitt Romney so Sarah Palin gets bumped up to 25%. Ron Paul the nut job will run so he’ll keep his 2%. Newt Gingrich as a GOP insider may or may not endorse Romney, I am not sure, but I do know that his supporters are more conservative than Mitt Romney is so I’ll split his vote with 2% for Romney and 1% for Sarah Palin. So not counting the undecideds we have Sarah Palin beating Mitt Romney 26% to 20% once the playing field is reduced. Thus Research2000’s claim (http://www.research2000.us/2009/12/23/palin-will-be-the-2012-gop-nominee/) that Sarah Palin will be the GOP nominee in 2012 is dead on accurate.
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Gallup: Palin and Romney top two contenders for 2012

 
The poll asked Republicans and Republican-leaning independents to name, without prompting, whom they would most like to see as the party's 2012 presidential candidate. It is clear at this early date that most Republicans have not developed a preference, with 42% not having an opinion or volunteering that they do not prefer any candidate.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin are most frequently mentioned, by 14% and 11%, respectively. Seven percent mention Arizona Sen. John McCain, the 2008 nominee. Newly elected Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown, former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 candidate Mike Huckabee, and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich are each mentioned by at least 3% of Republicans.

Just Off the Top of Your Head, Which Republican Would You Most Like to See as the Party's Candidate for President in the 2012 Election? Among Republicans and Republican-Leaning Independents
 
 
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Sarah Palin's media support is growing?

I was thinking about Sarah Palin’s Tea Party speech yesterday I realized that I believe she has an new and influential supporter, and this is the man who introduced her last night the internet news giant Breit Bart. Now as I see it Sarah Palin now has hardcore powerful supporters among the following in the media: Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Mark Levin, Glenn Beck, Greta Van Susteren, Bill O’Reilly, and Dennis Miller. Why is this important? Because it provides Sarah Palin with free media coverage and public support from those who certainly have tremendous influence over the GOP primaries. Their support to Sarah Palin is invaluable in a GOP primary and they will certainly play a major role in putting Sarah Palin over the top not only in a GOP primary in 2012 but also I believe in the general election as well.
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Sarah Palin an international figure? You betch ya!

My former boss Jan is a white guy from South Africa now working on becoming a U.S. citizen and he once told me why he thinks Sarah Palin will at least take the GOP nomination 2012. As a business who travelled extensively on an international scale Jan likes to hear what the overseas media are saying about the global economy and even American affairs. He told me that he believes Sarah Palin was the most powerful GOP figure on the planet. He said overseas you come across only two names in American politics: Obama and Sarah Palin.  Jan told me that Sarah Palin’s is so popular that not only is she mentioned in the press overseas but her name comes in everyday conversation in places like South Africa, India, and other counties. He pointed out that you do not see either Mike Huckabee or Mitt Romney’s name anywhere overseas in either the press or in everyday conversation. Why? Because Sarah Palin is not just the GOP star she is now a SUPER-star that is burning white hot and the world overseas have taken notice.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

FOX News on Sarah Palin

 Judson Berger - FOXNews.com
February 07, 2010

Palin 'Would Be Willing' to Take On Obama in 2012

Sarah Palin has President Obama in her sights, telling FoxNews.com she "would be willing" to challenge him in the 2012 presidential race.

Sarah Palin has President Obama in her sights, telling FoxNews.com she "would be willing" to challenge him in the 2012 presidential race.

The former Alaska governor, in an interview Saturday on the sidelines of the National Tea Party Convention in Nashville, said President Obama's "lack of experience" has held him back his first year in office and that she would put her credentials up against his any day.

"I would be willing to if I believe that it's right for the country," Palin said when asked if she would run for president in 2012.

She qualified the statement, adding that she sees "many" other potential candidates who are "in as strong or stronger position than I am to take on the White House and if they're in a better position than I in three years, I'll support them."

But the former GOP vice presidential nominee told "Fox News Sunday": "I won't close the door that perhaps could be open for me in the future." 

Palin is doing more than simply dipping her toe in the water with tentative talk of presidential aspirations. Since unexpectedly leaving the Alaska Governor's Mansion last year, she's formed a political action committee, she's started endorsing and supporting candidates in the Republican primaries, she's published a book and she's been agitating the administration on a regular basis. 

She delivered the keynote address Saturday at the tea party convention, using it to hammer Obama as soft on terrorism. When convention organizer Judson Phillips mentioned the idea of "President Palin" in a question-and-answer session afterward, audience members leapt to their feet and burst into a chant of "Run, Sarah, Run."

In the near-term, Palin said she is going to focus her energy on the upcoming GOP primaries, and that she may support "hundreds" of candidates in the months ahead.  

"I do want competition to allow the cream of the crop to rise (in the GOP contests)," Palin said, adding that her support would translate into everything from donations to campaign rallies. "There are hundreds of candidates on local, state and on the national level that hopefully we'll be able to help."

Palin recently endorsed Rand Paul, the son of Texas Rep. Ron Paul, in the GOP primary for U.S. Senate in Kentucky. She said she was attracted to his limited government platform and that she's already donated to the campaign.  

Asked which other races she's focusing on, Palin, who's a Fox News analyst, said she'll "do whatever I can to help" the Republican nominee, whoever he or she is, against Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada.  

"If the election were today, Reid ... would go down," Palin said.

However, she said she doesn't have any favorites in the Republican primary -- and dismissed the idea that she fancies herself a political kingmaker.

"That's going too far because I do not have that power nor desire," she said.

During her Saturday keynote address and in her interview with FoxNews.com, Palin pointed to the tea party movement as the surging political force that will make waves in the upcoming elections.

She said tea party support will "absolutely" be critical for candidates in some districts and that the GOP should not be scared of the movement.

"It absolutely helps (the Republican Party) and those who are fearful about it and those who are trying to stir up controversy about it -- they obviously are apprehensive in terms of the message getting out there, and those people are gonna get thumped because this is a good message," she said. "Who can argue this movement?"

As Palin aligns herself more closely with the evolving tea party movement, some surveys suggest she could have the support to eventually mount a competitive presidential run -- despite tough questions raised during the 2008 campaign about her experience and qualifications. A poll last week had her leading, by a few points, the pack of potential GOP candidates. The Research 2000 poll also showed Republican voters viewing her as more qualified to be president than Obama by a 4-1 margin.  

Asked whether she believes she's more qualified than Obama, Palin showed little hesitation.

"In the campaign, we tried to bring attention to the fact that Obama had really not a lot of experience. And I do say that my executive experience, as an administrator, as a team manager if you will was, and so was John McCain's as a matter of fact, was stronger and we had more experience than Barack Obama did in terms of managing huge multi-billion dollar budgets and thousands of employees ...¦ and that hasn't changed," Palin said. 

"I think that President Obama with all due respect, his lack of experience is really made manifest in the way that decisions are made in the White House today," she added.

Palin slammed Obama in her Nashville speech for his foreign and national security policies. And with health care reform on the ropes, she told FoxNews.com it's time to pull the plug.

"I sure wish that the present tool being used to reform health care would die, but I don't trust as far as I can throw them some of the people who are saying ok, we'll slow down," she said. "What they're working on today there in Congress and the White House, it needs to die."

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Sarah Palin kicking as* this weekend.

            It has been an amazingly busy weekend for Sarah Palin this weekend because she has: 1.) Given a very highly covered speech at the Tea Party Convention, 2.) Gave her first Sunday talk show appearance with Chris Wallace, and 3.) Is stumping for Texas Governor Rick Perry who is her closest political ally.

        I want to point out some things I have noticed from what I have observed this weekend. First, Sarah Palin is taking over the Tea Party Movement, not officially, but unofficially because she is by far the favorite candidate of the people of the Tea Party Movement. Second, Sarah Palin pounded Obama mercilessly in her highly covered Tea Party speech and is setting herself as the defacto anti-Obama candidate. She is deliberately picking a knife fight with the very thinned skinned Obama and it will be interesting to see how Obama responds this week to the highly publicized pounding he took by Sarah Palin. Third, and I say this as a person who checks the news on Sarah Palin every day, but this weekend I saw Sarah Palin at a new level of supreme confidence. For me it is like watching a lioness toying with the poodle that is Obama. To use a metaphor that I believe Sarah Palin would enjoy she is on the hunt for Obama, she has him politically in her crosshairs and she is looking to stuffing and mounting his political corpse on her wall in 2012.  

There are certain things that Sarah Palin knows which at this time she cannot be forthright. She knows that she is running for president in 2012. Sarah Palin knows that she owns the Tea Party Movement. Sarah Palin knows that she is the frontrunner of all GOP 2012 contenders. Sarah Palin knows that she needs a council of advisors and thus has them. Sarah Palin knows that like Reagan she needs both a grassroots movement and a political coalition that consists not only of traditional conservatives, but also the Religious Right, social conservatives, neo-conservatives, libertarians, Reagan Democrats, and fiscal conservatives. This weekend I saw Sarah Palin taking a very big step in building this coalition. This weekend clearly shows that Sarah Palin is progressing towards the White House in 2012.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Some great videos of Sarah Palin this weekend!

Here are some great videos taken from Sarah Palin's very busy weekend:

Sarah Palin's Tea Party keynote speech: http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/291974-3
 
Sarah Palin's interview with FOX New's Chris Wallace: http://www.conservatives4palin.com/
 
Sarah Palin stumpping for Texas Governor Rick Perry: http://texas4palin.blogspot.com/
 
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Tonight 9 PM Eastern Palin's Tea Party speech live.

Tonight you can catch Sarah Palin's Tea Party Convention speech at 9 pm Eastern at the following places live on Fox News, CNN, MSNBC, C-Span, PJTV, or Palintv. I believe this speech is going to huge and typical of Sarah Palin's ability to knock things out of the park.
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Listen to Palin's speech at Salina, Kansas!

Sarah Palin's kick as* speech at Salina, Kansas yesterday can be heard at: http://www.conservatives4palin.com/ Enjoy!

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (2) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Mark Levin defends Palin on McCain endorsement.

  H/T to Josh Painter at Texas for Palin

“On the Mark Levin Show Thursday, The Great One rose to Sarah Palin's defense when a caller slammed the 2008 GOP vice presidential candidate for her loyalty to her former running mate John McCain (at about the 31-minute mark):”

Caller: What about Sarah Palin's endorsement of McCain? What's the story on that? She's supposed to be rogue, and it seems like a "Scratch my back, I'll scratch your back" thing. I don't know. I'm a little bummed out on her.

Levin: Well, listen. My guess is that McCain chose her to be his running mate, and she feels a level of loyalty to him. Now, that doesn't mean you have to support McCain. I have already announced that I support J.D. Hayworth, but my opinion on Sarah Palin is very high. It has not changed, and if she does it out of loyalty, you know, loyalty is a virtue as well, my friend.

Caller: That's true. I'll buy that. However, it seems to me that it's a routine like she's just another one of the [unintelligible word] or whatever. I don't know...

Levin: I don't think so. Not in any way. She's taken a lot of abuse. If you listen to her in these various interviews as I do, she's very thoughtful, very solid. And I'm guessing she's supporting McCain out of loyalty. I don't have to have any loyalty to McCain. I have loyalty to J.D. in this case because of my view that he's clearly the most conservative. On the other hand, I understand if Sarah Palin wants to back John McCain. I wouldn't vote for John McCain, but I understand her loyalty. And that really doesn't bother me that much.

Caller: All right. Well, I understand she is in a "Scratch my back, I'll scratch your back" kind of thing with him, and...

Levin: No, no, it's not "scratch your..." She's not getting anything out of backing him. In fact, she's getting some conservatives like you who are questioning her. So it's not like she's doing it to get a favor from him. He can't deliver her anything.

Caller: Right.

Levin: So if it's "Scratch your back, scratch my back" you have to assume you're getting something in return, and she's not. But now that you mention it, I could use a good back scratch, to be perfectly honest with you.

Caller: Well, you keep it up, Mark. I appreciate how great a voice you are in this dark world out here, especially in this L.A. area. So, there's a lot of us who listen to you, and I just thank you so much for everything you're doing.

Levin: Well, you're a good man, my brother, and God bless. And I appreciate you.

Caller: God bless you. When we get to heaven, I want to meet you, all right?

Levin: Ah, aren't you sweet, and thank you, my friend. And let's not do that too fast. Okay? We've got a little time left. I'm a big Sarah Palin fan. And by the way, she's a big Rush Limbaugh fan. Don't let the folks at Politico twist what Sarah Palin's spokeswoman said and so forth. Everything's copacetic.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Sarah Palin or Mitt Romney that is the GOP's choice in 2012.

  After today’s hit piece by Andrea Tantaros on Sarah Palin’s potential run for 2012, and let’s be honest folks she is running for president in 2012. I should point out that while Sarah Palin tops the charts of the two most recent polls (Zogby & Research2000) on potential GOP 2012 candidates, Mitt Romney comes in second place. Folk’s this is the same Mitt Romney that has brought the State of Massachusetts  to the verge of bankruptcy with the socialized medicine he instituted in his state as governor; this is also the same Mitt Romney who throughout his long career has consistently trashed Ronald Reagan and his policies. Folk’s if Sarah Palin does not win the nomination and the RINO Mitt Romney the GOP may be doomed, because you can say goodbye to the Tea Party folks, Traditional Conservatives (like myself), libertarians, and the Religious Right. A Mitt Romney nomination would be catastrophic for the GOP and maybe its deathblow. See here for what Mitt Romney really believes via Youtube:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a9IJUkYUbvI

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive
« Previous1234Next »